Game Result Predictions
Sunday, April 28
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dallas, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Illinois State (36-26, Road 20-19) |
9 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | 13 | ✘ | 4 | +3.0 | 33% | ✘ | |
|
Dallas Baptist (43-20, Home 24-7) |
8 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 17 (4) |
7 | -3.0 | 67% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Terre Haute, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southern Illinois (26-29, Road 5-18) |
3 | 3 | +4.0 | 36% | 10 | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
|
Indiana State (43-18, Home 15-2) |
6 | 7 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 9 (-1) |
7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Springfield, MO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bradley (25-19, Road 14-10) |
10 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✘ | |
|
Missouri State (20-36, Home 11-12) |
9 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 19 (8) |
5 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Valparaiso, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Evansville (24-29, Road 11-19) |
8 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 10 | ✔ | 5 | -0.5 | 55% | ✔ | |
|
Valparaiso (14-36, Home 8-6) |
1 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 9 (-1) |
4 | +0.5 | 45% | |||